Live Analysis

Paste any Kalshi market URL to run a real-time model vs market edge analysis with full quant breakdown.

Zaiov Quant AI — Kalshi Market Analyzer

Kalshi Market Analyzer

Real-time Bradley-Terry + XGBoost ensemble model vs Kalshi orderbook. Full edge, confidence interval, and quant score breakdown per market.

Open Analysis Tool

Opens in a new tab

How to use

01

Paste a Kalshi URL

Any active market — e.g. kxnbagame-26apr06celind

02

Run analysis

Model fetches live orderbook, fits BT model, computes edge

03

Read the signal

Edge > 3% with QS ≥ 65 = qualifying bet. Check tier + best line.

Edge Detection

Model probability vs Kalshi market price with spread-adjusted gating across NBA, MLB, NCAAM

Model Ensemble

Bradley-Terry + XGBoost + LightGBM with isotonic calibration — tuned weekly via Optuna

Quant Score

Phase F gate: 83.1% backtest WR. Only mp≥60% + |edge|≤5% + kp≥55% picks are scored